Original Publish Date » April 3 , 2025
Last Updated » 2 weeks

The Polls

» Liberals remain on track for majority win

  • Liberals 43.4% / Conservatives 37.6% / NDP 8.4% / BQ 5.5% / Green 2.4% / PPC 2.0%

The Liberals are leading the Conservatives by roughly six points nationwide and would be heavily favoured to win a majority government if an election were held today. The New Democrats and Bloc Québécois, struggling to make headway in the polls, are on track to suffer significant seat losses. (CBC Poll Tracker – April 3, 2025)

» The latest national tracking survey shows a lift in support for the Liberal Party, now leading with 46% of voter backing. The Conservatives follow at 37%, while the New Democrats trail at a tracking low of 9%, dipping from 11% in earlier tracking.

  • Liberal leader Mark Carney’s advantage goes to 17 points over Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre —when respondents are asked who they would prefer as prime minister (50% vs 32.8%). (Nik Nanos)

On The Campaign Trail

» Prime Minister Mark Carney is meeting virtually with Canada’s provincial and territorial premiers today to discuss Trump’s latest tariffs. He is expected to deliver a response to the duties after meeting. (CP)

  • Prime Minister Carney will then switch hats, and as Liberal Leader Mark Carney head back on the campaign trail. Carney is expected to be in Montreal today. (CP)

» Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre disagrees with conservative dean Preston Manning that a Liberal Leader Mark Carney win would fuel Western secession (CBC)

» Steven Chase / Globe and Mail » Late Tuesday, the Conservative Party dropped a fourth candidate on a single day. Etobicoke North candidate Don Patel was dropped for publicly supporting a call for Canada to ship people to India where, it was suggested, they would face retaliation from the government.

  • As reported yesterday, the Conservative Party dropped Lourence Singh as the candidate for New Westminster-Burnaby-Maillardville in BC. The Conservatives also dropped Stefan Marquis, who was running in the Montreal riding of Laurier-Sainte-Marie, and Mark McKenzie, who was running in the southwest Ontario riding of Windsor-Tecumseh-Lakeshore.