Original Publish Date » April 9 , 2025
Last Updated » 3 weeks

The Polls

Liberals remain favourites as campaign approaches halfway mark

  • Liberals 44% / Conservatives 37.1% / NDP 8.5% / BQ 5.4% / Green 2.4% / PPC 1.7%

The Liberals have been holding a steady lead over the Conservatives in the polling average and would be heavily favoured to win a majority government if an election were held today. The New Democrats and Bloc Québécois struggle to make any headway in the polls. (CBC Poll Tracker – April 9, 2025)

On The Campaign Trail

At the rallies – where Mr. Poilievre gives a version of the same hour-long speech almost nightly – the largest cheers come for topics such as slashing carbon levies, kicking the CBC out of its Toronto headquarters to make room for housing, cutting foreign aid and a promise to promote “warrior culture – not a woke culture” in the military. (Globe and Mail)

Mark Carney looks for Liberal breakthrough in Alberta (CBC)

Liberals favoured to best manage energy, resources, Ipsos poll says (Global News)

  • When asked which party and leader would do the best job at managing Canada’s energy and resources, a majority of the respondents to the Ipsos poll chose the federal Liberals and their leader Mark Carney, over the Conservatives and their leader Pierre Poilievre.
  • Overall, 69% said Canada needs to “act faster on opportunities for developing energy and resource projects in light of the dispute with the U.S.” — including 26% of respondents who agreed that we need to “push obstacles out of the way” and 43% who agreed we need to move faster but “with some caution.”

While most of the world is attempting to avoid a global recession, the Conservatives are now courting the immature voter » Reminiscent of the personal attacks at Justin Trudeau’s hair during the COVID-19 crisis, Conservative Leader Poilievre criticizes Mark Carney’s ‘banker’s haircut (CBC) That’s mature.

  • Poilievre said voters shouldn’t think Carney is any different from Trudeau “because he has a banker’s haircut and wears a pair of blue socks.”

Poilievre took only 65 questions in broadcast press conferences during the first two weeks of the campaign, compared to the 148 fielded by the Liberal leader Mark Carney, 163 by the Bloc leader Yves-François Blanchet, and 208 by the NDP leader Jagmeet Singh. Poilievre and the Conservatives are not living up to their own promise to be ‘most accessible and transparent campaign’  (The Hill Times)

True to his MAGA style, where he appears more comfortable, Pierre Poilievre is boasting about his rallies. Does size really matter? Spoiler, it doesn’t. (CBC)

BC Conservatives under fire for letter backing Aaron Gunn (National Observer)

  • Provincial and municipal politicians in the North Island-Powell River riding are joining the fray on whether contentious Conservative candidate Aaron Gunn should remain as a candidate in the upcoming election
  • Aaron Gunn has a long collection of social media posts over the treatment of Indigenous people in residential schools and genocide

Election Interference

A network of Xitter accounts is “artificially” amplifying misinformation about Canada’s economy and leadership during the election (The Logic)

  • A coordinated campaign from these accounts spread false stories about businesses decamping for the US as a result of Canada’s alleged economic decline, as well as Canadian support for Trump’s goal to annex the country. The network, which is made up of 73 accounts and “likely hundreds more,” shares material from US right wing sites, as well as Toronto-based Canada Free Press and Montreal-based Post Millennial.
  • The campaign amplified misinformation from US and Canadian right wing outlets, as well as Russian state-owned media entity RT
  • The Elon Musk-owned X, formerly known as Twitter, faces fines of more than a billion dollars for violating European Union laws regarding disinformation and illegal content