Original Publish Date » April 10 , 2025
Last Updated » 2 weeks

The Polls

Liberals continue to lead over Conservatives

  • Liberals 43.9% / Conservatives 37.3% / NDP 8.6% / BQ 5.3% / Green 2.3% / PPC 1.8%

The Liberals have been holding a steady lead over the Conservatives in the polling average and would be heavily favoured to win a majority government if an election were held today. While there is some variation between pollsters concerning the size of the Liberal lead, every pollster now has the Liberals ahead by at least three points. The New Democrats and Bloc Québécois are on track to suffer significant seat losses. (CBC Poll Tracker – April 10, 2025)

On The Campaign Trail

Mark Carney pledges to make Canada an energy superpower, proposes faster project reviews

  • Liberal Leader Mark Carney announced in Calgary on Wednesday that a Liberal government would establish a federal project office with a new mandate to conduct one review per project and issue a decision within two years instead of five.
  • Carney also promised a new “first and last mile fund” to connect critical mineral projects to supply chains.
  • Carney pledged the new approach will make Canada an energy superpower
  • Carney said his new approach will make Canada less dependent on the US (Globe and Mail)

Trailing in every major public-opinion poll, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says he will respect the results of the April 28 election win or lose.

  • But Poilievre — some of whose supporters have been sporting gear saying “Do You Believe The Polls?” — ducked a question about whether he himself trusted the surveys showing him behind Mark Carney’s Liberals. (Toronto Star)

Liberal Leader Mark Carney pitched a suite of public safety measures, while Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre promised to make it easier for cities to cut the cost of building new homes.

Conservatives are limiting media access to Conservative Leadre Pierre Poilievre

  • David Coletto, founder and CEO of Ottawa-based polling and market research firm Abacus Data, said a strategy to limit media access to Poilievre was a safe one, when he was so far ahead of Trudeau. He said the goal was to control as much as possible to just get to the finish line. “That strategy doesn’t seem to be working because the entire landscape has changed,” Coletto said. (CBC)

Poilievre’s ‘three strikes and your out’ crime plan for repeat offenders, which sounds very similar to Trump’s campaigning, would face constitutional challenges (CBC / CBC)

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh says an NDP government would establish a complete public pharmacare system within four years of being elected. They remain at less than 9% in the national polls, struggling to make headway, and are on track to suffer significant seat losses.

Conservatives fail to nominate a candidate in Quebec City riding

  • Elections Canada confirmed the candidacy papers submitted for Thériault “did not comply with the requirements of the law.”
  • A Conservative MP has not been elected in the Québec-Centre riding for over 30 years (CBC)