Original Publish Date » April 14 , 2025
Last Updated » 6 days

Campus voting begins at more than 100 universities and colleges across Canada (List of participating campuses at Elections Canada)

The Polls

Liberals favoured to win majority if election held today

  • Liberals 44.0% / Conservatives 37.8% / NDP 8.7% / BQ 5.1% / Green 2.4% / PPC 1.5%

The Liberals have held a consistent lead of six or seven points in the national polling average since the second week of the campaign and remain favoured to win a majority government if the election were held today. The Conservatives are holding at more support than they’ve had in the last three elections, but it is not high enough to win when the Liberals have picked up so much of the Bloc Québécois and NDP vote. Those two parties are on track for significant seat losses. (CBC Poll Tracker – April 14, 2025)

A new poll of Saskatchewan voters shows growing support for federal Liberals in Saskatoon and Regina — enough to make some races competitive — but Conservative support remains high across the province. (CBC)

Beginning in January, Frank Graves started to notice a sudden and unexpected downward trend for Conservatives. At the time, Graves was ridiculed online for his observations, especially because of his reputation as a Liberal supporter strongly opposed to Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. But as Donald Trump talked more and more about tariffs and annexing Canada, Graves — and the rest of the country — watched as the Conservative Party’s 25-point lead evaporated. Now, Graves predicts a comfortable win for Mark Carney and his fellow Liberals. “This is unprecedented,” Graves said. “I have never seen a transformation of our voter landscape in Canada of that nature.” (Politico)

On The Campaign Trail

The Conservatives’ Last Gambit: Smear Carney

A recent Angus Reid poll found that 55% of respondents had a favourable view of Liberal Leader Mark Carney. By comparison, just 36% favoured Pierre Poilievre. Carney was also preferred as prime minister, 50% to 28%, over the Conservative leader. (The Tyee)

Mark Carney speaks about securing our sovereignty at Bombardier

Tout le monde en parle » Mark Carney defends knowledge of Quebec culture, Pierre Poilievre insists he’s no ‘mini-Trump’ (CBC)

“You seem to have a good sense of humour, for an economist.” The Liberals unveiled a new French-language advertisement on Sunday featuring French comedian Léa Stréliski and Liberal Party leader Mark Carney, in a restaurant. (le Journal de Montréal)

Diana Fox Carney, the spouse of the prime minister, is door knocking in Nepean (iPolitics)

Poilievre says he’ll use notwithstanding clause to ensure multiple-murderers die in prison

  • Mark Carney said if Poilievre is serious about cracking down on crime, he would stop opposing gun control measures whenever they’re introduced in legislation. (CBC)

Economy

The April 28 election has higher stakes than any Canadian vote in recent memory. Trump has threatened not only Canada’s economy but its sovereignty, repeatedly taunting it as a future 51st state. The global trade war he started risks plunging Canada into a recession, adding pressures to tax revenues and spurring more spending to help businesses and workers. Both parties have also promised to invest more in defence. Canada, which is rated AAA by S&P Global, would join a global trend of greater borrowing as the US pulls back from long-held economic and security relationships. Germany unlocked hundreds of billions of euros for defense and infrastructure, and other European nations are set to make similar moves. China is expected to unleash fiscal stimulus in response to Trump’s tariffs. (Bloomberg)

Debate Week

Party leaders converge on Montreal ahead of two nights of debates