CBC / CTV / Toronto Star each declare the Liberal Party will form the next government. Mark Carney will continue as Prime Minister.
To survive Trump and the threat of separation, the next prime minister must unite Canadians
- “This Liberal path not only means more poverty and hunger, and more helplessness and homelessness, but it also means more divisions in our country.”
It’s quite the claim, from a man who sowed division for years, pitting groups of Canadians against each other with slogans such as “boots not suits,” supporting law breaking “convoy” participants while vilifying the Indigenous protesters who blocked rail lines, and mischaracterizing government policies for his own partisan gain — going so far as to claim prime minister Justin Trudeau was so egotistical that he put a picture of himself swimming in the Canadian passport. (He didn’t; it’s a nondescript computer drawing of a boy jumping into a body of water).
His rhetoric — conspiracy theories he gives credence to about the World Economic Forum, his desire to cut foreign aid and lean into policies with a nativist tinge, for example — reflect the kind of commentary heard and seen on right-wing media channels. The Conservatives have learned from our southern neighbour that the best way to influence policy is to influence the people. (Althia Raj, Toronto Star)
Excerpt from Trump’s interviewed with Jeffrey Goldberg of The Atlantic »
Trump: I think maybe one of the things I’ve been most successful with is foreign relations.Goldberg: I think the Canadians would disagree.Trump: Well, the Canadians. Here’s the problem I have with Canada: We’re subsidizing them to the tune of $200 billion a year. And we don’t need their gasoline; we don’t need their oil; we don’t need their lumber. We don’t need their energy of any type. We don’t need anything they have. I say it would make a great 51st state. I love other nations. I love Canada. I have great friends. Wayne Gretzky’s a friend of mine. I mean, I have great friends. I said to Wayne, “I’m gonna give you a pass, Wayne.” I don’t want to ruin his reputation in Canada. I said, “Just pretend you don’t know me.” But they’re great people.You know, they do 95 percent of their business with us. Remember, if they’re a state, there’s no tariffs. They have lower taxes. We have to guard them militarily.Goldberg: You seriously want them to become a state?Trump: I think it would be great.Goldberg: A hell of a big Democratic state.Trump: A lot of people say that, but I’m okay with it if it has to be, because I think, you know, actually, until I came along—Goldberg: I’m no political genius, but I know which way they’re going to vote. They have socialized medicine.Trump: You know, until I came along, remember that the conservative was leading by 25 points.Parker: It’s true.Trump: Then I was disliked by enough of the Canadians that I’ve thrown the election into a close call, right? I don’t even know if it’s a close call. But the conservative, they didn’t like Governor Trudeau too much, and I would call him Governor Trudeau, but he wasn’t fond of that.
Final polls show Liberals holding a narrow lead but heavily favoured to win the most seats
- Liberals 42.8% / Conservatives 39.2% / NDP 8.1% / BQ 6% / Green 1.8% / PPC 1.3%
Though the margin closed in the final days of the campaign, the Liberals enter election day with a lead of just under four percentage points over the Conservatives. Favoured by wide margins in key battlegrounds, the Liberals are very likely to win the most seats and have a good chance of securing a majority government. The Conservatives are on track to finish with their highest vote share since 2011 but it is unlikely to be enough as former supporters of the Bloc Québécois and New Democrats have flocked to the Liberals. The Bloc and especially the NDP are poised to suffer significant seat losses as a result. (Final CBC Poll Tracker)
Liberals hold four-point lead over Conservatives heading into Monday’s vote
- The Ipsos polling has Mark Carney’s Liberals at 42% support nationwide, followed by 38% for the Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, and just 9% for Jagmeet Singh’s New Democrats.
- “At this late juncture, just 5% of Canadians remain undecided, and 71% of those who have made up their minds are ‘absolutely certain’ of their choice,” Ipsos said in a statement. (Global News)
Mark Carney puts focus on Trump » US “trying to break us, so they can own us”
Mark Carney is ready to confront the US. He’s done it before
- Carney is emerging as a central figure in the global response to Trump’s tariffs, and he might seem like an unlikely one. A Harvard and Oxford-educated economist, he’s best known as the only person to have run two different central banks — hardly the most thrilling or relatable pitch for a political campaign. He has never held elected office. But Carney’s unusual background has elements that now seem quietly relevant. (Politico)
In a Q&A with Politico, Ontario Premier Doug Ford gets real about the Canada elections, Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre
Canadians despise Trump and distrust US
- Three quarters of Canadians dislike Trump
- Canada’s election has transformed into a test of Trump’s political influence beyond the United States. In a backlash against his threats and trade war, about half of Canadians now consider the U.S. as a hostile power, a dramatic turn among moderate and Liberal-leading Canadians. (Politico)
Trump is hoping Pierre Poilievre will win the election ⤵️
Trump is pulling for Pierre Poilievre
