Liberals favoured to win ahead of election day

  • Liberals 42.5% / Conservatives 38.9% / NDP 8.6% / BQ 6.0% / Green 1.9% / PPC 1.4%

While the margin between the Liberals and the Conservatives has tightened, the Liberals still hold a wider lead than they had going into the last two elections and are favoured to win the most seats thanks to their edge in Ontario, Quebec, B.C. and Atlantic Canada. The Conservatives still trail in the polling average in these battlegrounds, while the Bloc Québécois and New Democrats remain on track to suffer significant seat losses. (CBC Poll Tracker – April 27, 2025)

No significant shifts in the Leger polling data

  • Liberals 43% / Conservatives 39% / NDP 8% / BQ 6% / Green 2% / PPC 1%

There have been no significant shifts in voting intentions since our last poll. When asked who they would vote for if elections were held today, 43% of Canadians said they would vote for the Liberal Party compared to 39% for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party. (Leger Marketing)

Mark Carney is riding an anti-Trump wave. Will that be enough to win Canada’s election?

  • Monday’s Canadian federal election is likely to determine the economic future of the country for years to come. Someone should inform the Conservatives and the New Democratic Party.(The Guardian)

On Friday morning, April 25, Liberal Leader Mark Carney visited Sault Ste. Marie for a campaign stop at Algoma Steel, the city’s largest employer. After the press conference, the Liberal Leader sat down for a wide-ranging interview with Village Media’s Inside the Village podcast.

Angus Reed reports Liberal voters dominate early voting

  • While the topline numbers tell a story on the surface, the undercurrents shape a deeper narrative.
  • Currently, vote intention favours the Liberal Party by four points (44%) over the Conservative Party (40%). These, with a two-point range given the margin of error on a probability sample. The Bloc Québécois are supported by seven per cent and the NDP by six.
  • One major takeaway is that turnout Monday will have a major impact on final party standings. While advance voters leaned heavily Liberal (46% vs 34% CPC) those who are decided or leaning and have yet to cast a ballot indicate e-day turnout is more likely to break evenly between the CPC and the Liberals (38% vote intention for each). (Angus Reed)

‘It’s about preventing real harm’: Canadians in UK prepare for momentous election

  • “I feel united with the Canadian people in trying to find their way out of this,” she says. “We want someone to make the hard decisions about how to re-engineer the economy away from the US, and to me that person is Carney.” Carney is, of course, Mark Carney, the Liberal party prime minister and former governor of the Bank of Canada and Bank of England who, despite being just two months into his political career, is leading the polls. (The Guardian)

Nova Scotia premier blasts Bloc leader for calling Canada ‘artificial country’ (CBC)