The Vote

7.3 million Canadians cast their ballot during 4-day advance voting, Elections Canada said

  • It is a 25% increase from the 2021 advance vote. Elections Canada noted that the number is an estimate, as some polls may not have reported yet. On the first day of the advance vote, nearly two million voted, setting a record and prompting Elections Canada to make adjustments due to the huge turnout. (CBC / Global News)

The Polls

Margin narrows, but Liberals retain advantage in polls

  • Liberals 43.1% / Conservatives 38.4% / NDP 8.3% / BQ 5.1% / Green 2.2% / PPC 1.4%

A flurry of new polls suggest that the margin between the Liberals and Conservatives has narrowed nationally, but the Liberals still hold the lead. The Conservatives are not closing the gap in the important battlegrounds of Ontario and British Columbia, leaving the Liberals as the heavy favourites to win the most seats — and likely a majority government. The New Democrats remain stuck in a distant third place while the Bloc has recovered a little in Quebec following the French-language debate. (CBC Poll Tracker – April 22, 2025)

On The Campaign Trail

How Pierre Poilievre, Canada’s Trump-style candidate, blew a 20-point polling lead

  • Trump’s trade war and threats to annex Canada have upended Canadian politics. In less than three months, the Conservatives have gone from heavy favorites to underdogs in an election set for April 28. (WSJ)

Mark Carney ridicules Pierre Poilievre’s budget plan: ‘These numbers are a joke’

  • Liberal Leader Mark Carney says there is a realistic chance his economic plan could eliminate the federal budget deficit within five years, but that he refrained from putting the claim on paper because it is irresponsible to make assumptions about growth during Trump’s trade crisis. Carney made the comment at a machine parts factory in this Quebec battleground riding on Tuesday, as he ripped into Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives for baking “phantom” numbers about expected tax revenues from economic growth into their policy platform released earlier in the day, less than a week before the federal election on April 28. “If we made the assumptions that the Conservatives did about growth in our platform, we’d be in a fiscal surplus in five years,” Carney said. (Toronto Star)

Mark Carney holds rally in Fredericton

  • Liberal Leader Mark Carney addresses supporters at a campaign rally in Fredericton, NB. He is joined by New Brunswick Premier Susan Holt and David Myles, Liberal candidate for Fredericton—Oromocto. (Video 52 min)

Conservative MP threatened with eviction notice from taxpayer-subsidized apartment

  • An outspoken Conservative ethics critic was threatened with eviction from his taxpayer-subsidized apartment over allegations of unpaid rent, Global News has learned. In 2023, Minto Apartment Limited Partnership – owners of an apartment building just steps from Parliament Hill – asked the Landlord and Tenant Board to intervene after it said Conservative MP Larry Brock failed to pay $16,429.23 in overdue rent, according to provincial documents. A spokesperson for Brock, however, said he was never evicted from his downtown Ottawa lodgings — his secondary residence — and suggested instead that the dispute was over unpaid parking fees. (Global New)

Latest Conservative ads aimed at older men, show golfers, do not feature images of Poilievre (CBC)