The Polls

Liberals retain lead in polling average ahead of final week

  • Liberals 43.3% / Conservatives 38.4% / NDP 8.2% / BQ 5.6% / Green 2.1% / PPC 1.7%

It will take a few days before we see any impact from the debates show up in the polls, but as advance voting takes place this weekend the Liberals hold a national lead that is large enough to make them the favourites to win the most seats — and probably a majority government. The Conservatives are holding steady with more support than they’ve had in the last three elections, but it remains not enough, as the Liberals are retaining the Bloc Québécois and NDP vote they have picked up since the beginning of the campaign. (CBC Poll Tracker – April 20, 2025)

The Vote

Elections Canada said a new record set as nearly two million people showed up to cast a ballot on Friday, the first of four days for advanced voting in the federal election. (The Canadian Press)

On The Campaign Trail

Liberal Leader Mark Carney framed his fiscal and spending plan in terms of a crisis — “the biggest crisis of our lifetimes”

  • The US is attacking Canada’s economy and threatening Canadian sovereignty. The American president is “trying to fundamentally restructure the international trading system” and, in doing so, is “rupturing the global economy.” “And to succeed in a crisis, you have to act with overwhelming force,” Carney said at an announcement in Ontario. “In a crisis … the private sector retreats, and government needs to step up. Government must lead and catalyze private investment.” (CBC)

Poilievre delays release of Conservative platform, takes aim at Mark Carney’s plan instead

  • Are the Conservatives busy rewriting? What are they hiding one week before election day? (Global News)